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Tell your auto repair mechanic, your favorite restaurant owner, and the owner of your pool cleaning service that it really is final contact for subprime industrial loans. I predict that the subprime commercial mortgage loan market place will shrink by 75% within six months. If these modest enterprise owners are ever going to pull some equity out of their industrial buildings to tide them through the coming recession, it might be as well late if they do not apply in the subsequent couple of weeks.

The way that Wall Street lenders, like Bayview Economic (a fine firm and good friends of ours), raise their lending capital is to securitize their subprime commercial loans. They place the loans in a huge pool. They assign the pool of loans to a trust. The trust concerns bonds backed by the loans in the trust.

Then investment bankers sell these bonds into the Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) industry. In addition to subprime industrial loans, credit card debt and car loans are also often sold as ABS bonds.

The dilemma is that the purchasers of these ABS bonds are now requiring massively larger yields. I study in Bloomberg yesterday that the purchasers of AAA-rated ABS bonds are at the moment demanding yields that are a complete 2% (200 basis points!) greater than they were just eight months ago. The appetite for ABS bonds is clearly waning.

In addition, Wall Street subprime industrial lenders are also being forced to lower their loan-to-value ratios. For instance, Silverhill Economic not too long ago lowered its higher-LTV system from 97% to just 85% loan-to-worth.

These modifications are a warning that the market for ABS bonds could be drying up. If Bayview, Lehman Brothers and the rest of the Wall Street subprime commercial lenders abruptly dial back their applications, the relatively tiny hard money commercial lending firms will be unable to handle the overflow. Subprime commercial mortgage lending could largely dry up, and it could come about extremely quickly.

For that reason you need to have to tell the owner of your favourite coffee shop and your auto physique repair guy that if they are ever going to try to borrow against their buildings, they much better do it now! buy home for sale in tulsa